Q319 · Practice questionTechnology-activeComplex familiar5 marks
QUESTION 319 (5 marks)
Each of independently selected voters supports a proposal with probability . Let be the sample proportion supporting it.
a)[2 marks]
Use a binomial model to determine , to four decimal places.
b)[2 marks]
Use a normal approximation without a continuity correction to estimate the same probability, to four decimal places.
c)[1 mark]
Explain why the two answers need not be identical.
WORKED SOLUTION
5 marksPractice marking scheme
ANSWER
a) . b) . c) The exact distribution is discrete; the normal model is continuous and approximate.
Worked solution
a) . The inclusive bounds are , giving .
b) The standard deviation is . Standardising and gives an approximate probability .
c) A continuous approximation does not exactly reproduce discrete probability masses, especially at inclusive boundaries without a continuity correction.
Exact answers unless rounding is specified; equivalent forms accepted.
a) Converts to the inclusive integer bounds.
a) Calculates the exact probability.
b) Uses the correct sampling mean and standard deviation.
b) Calculates the normal probability.
c) Explains the discrete versus approximate distinction.
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