Exponential random variables — Question 214
Original QCE Vault practice · 5 marks
Q214 · Practice questionTechnology-freeComplex familiar5 marks
QUESTION 214 (5 marks)
An exponential waiting time W has 90th percentile exactly 12 minutes.
a)Determine its rate and mean exactly.
[3 marks] b)Determine exactly the probability of waiting more than 6 minutes.
[2 marks] WORKED SOLUTION
Practice marking scheme
5 marksANSWER(a) λ=ln10/12; mean 12/ln10. (b) 1/10. Worked solution
(a) The percentile condition gives e−12λ=0.1. Taking logarithms gives rate ln(10)/12. The mean is its reciprocal. (b) P(W>6)=e−6λ=e−ln10/2=10−1/2. Halving time does not halve the probability; exponential survival is multiplicative. Equivalent mathematically justified methods accepted.
Exact answers unless a decimal accuracy is specified.
Part a: Convert percentile to survival 0.1.
[1 mark]Part a: Solve for the rate.
[1 mark]Part b: Evaluate survival at 6.
[1 mark]Part b: Simplify the exact probability.
[1 mark]Practice question aligned to the current QCAA syllabus; review the worked solution and marking criteria.
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