Q14 · 2021 · Technology-activeSimple familiar5 marks
QUESTION 14 (5 marks)
The Tasmanian thornbill is a species of bird that has an average life span of three years. Female thornbills do not reproduce in their first year, but produce an average of four female offspring in each of their second and third years. The survival rate of each age group is estimated as 25% in their first year and 30% in their second year.
A Leslie matrix, , modelling the population distribution of the Tasmanian thornbill, has been partially completed:
a)[1 mark]
State the values of and .
b)[4 marks]
At the start of 2021, a study began into the population of Tasmanian thornbills. The study estimated that the initial female population was 510 in their first year, 480 in their second year and 420 in their third year, and found that the ratio of male to female was approximately . Estimate the total population of Tasmanian thornbills at the start of 2025.
WORKED SOLUTION
5 marksQCAA guide · typeset solution
ANSWER
, ; estimated total population .
Worked solution
a) and .
b) Number of females at the start of 2021:
Number of females at the start of 2025:
Total female population .
Using the male:female ratio , the total population is estimated by
Therefore the estimated total population at the start of 2025 is .
correctly states the values of and
correctly identifies the initial matrix
determines female population in their first, second and third years at the start of 2025
determines total female population at the start of 2025
determines total population at the start of 2025, rounded to a whole number
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