Q243 · Practice questionTechnology-activeComplex unfamiliar6 marks
QUESTION 243 (6 marks)
A lot of miniature game pieces is accepted when its random sample mean mass is at least 49 g. Independent masses are normal with known standard deviation 6 g. A good lot has mean 50 g and a poor lot mean 48 g.
a)[3 marks]
For n=36, find the probabilities of rejecting a good lot and rejecting a poor lot.
b)[3 marks]
Find least n making good-lot rejection probability at most 0.05. Do not round the quantile before deciding n.
WORKED SOLUTION
6 marksPractice marking scheme
ANSWER
(a) and . (b) .
Worked solution
(a) Standard error is 6/6=1. For a good lot, . For a poor lot, it is . Boundary equality has zero probability.
(b) The probability is . Require , hence . Round up to 98; n=97 still exceeds 0.05 rejection probability.
Equivalent mathematically justified methods accepted.
Exact answers unless a decimal accuracy is specified.
Part a: Use standard error 1.
Part a: Calculate the good-lot rejection probability.
Part a: Calculate the poor-lot rejection probability.
Part b: Form the one-sided probability condition.
Part b: Use the unrounded 0.95 quantile.
Part b: Round up and establish minimality.
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