Q317 · Practice questionTechnology-freeSimple familiar3 marks
QUESTION 317 (3 marks)
The diagram shows ten approximate confidence intervals obtained from independent random samples. The dashed line is the true population proportion .
a)[1 mark]
How many of the displayed intervals contain the true proportion?
b)[2 marks]
Explain why a confidence level does not require exactly of these ten intervals to contain .
WORKED SOLUTION
3 marksPractice marking scheme
ANSWER
a) . b) Coverage is a long-run property, so a small collection varies randomly; exactly of ten intervals is not even an integer count.
Worked solution
a) The intervals for samples 4 and 9 miss the dashed line; the other eight include it.
b) Repeated-sampling coverage is approximately over a large number of repetitions. Random variation means a particular group of ten need not match that rate.
Exact answers unless rounding is specified; equivalent forms accepted.
a) Counts eight covering intervals.
b) Describes long-run coverage.
b) Explains random variation in a small set.
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